FX
NZD/USD
0.5844Closed
New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 63.3%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 5 1d bars (5 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 83
New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar has entered Thin Ice 83 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 1.0% (mean -1.0%) — positive 43% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 82 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -1.0% · more often negative than positive · worst case -32.2%
Watch for: historically, New Zealand Dollar / US Dollar exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 71% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.
5 bars52%positiven=82
10 bars52%positiven=82
21 bars51%positiven=82
30 bars48%positiven=82
90 bars46%positiven=82
180 bars43%positiven=82