Equities
Size / StyleUS Large Cap ValueUnited States
MGV
$163.76Closed
Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 42.5%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 35 1d bars (35 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 63
Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF has entered Thin Ice 63 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 6.5% (mean +5.6%) — positive 74% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 62 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +6.5% · negative 26% of the time (roughly 1 in 4) · worst case -12.9%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard Mega Cap Value ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.
5 bars56%positiven=63
10 bars62%positiven=63
21 bars70%positiven=63
30 bars65%positiven=63
90 bars71%positiven=62
180 bars74%positiven=62