Equities
iShares MSCI China ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 54.3%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 10 1d bars (10 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 51
iShares MSCI China ETF has entered Thin Ice 51 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 2.5% (mean +3.1%) — positive 57% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 47 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +2.5% · negative 43% of the time · worst case -42.9%
Watch for: historically, iShares MSCI China ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 58% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.