Equities
iShares MBS ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 94.1%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 13 1d bars (13 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 78
iShares MBS ETF has entered Thin Ice 78 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.4% (mean -0.5%) — positive 49% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 75 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -0.4% · more often negative than positive · worst case -12.7%
Watch for: historically, iShares MBS ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 58% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.