Bonds
iShares Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 69.8%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 2 1d bars (2 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 61
iShares Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF has entered Thin Ice 61 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.6% (mean -0.6%) — positive 55% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 58 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.6% · negative 45% of the time · worst case -15.1%
Watch for: historically, iShares Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 70% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.