Bonds
iShares Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 44.2%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 7 1d bars (7 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 62
iShares Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF has entered Thin Ice 62 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.7% (mean -0.5%) — positive 56% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 59 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.7% · negative 44% of the time · worst case -15.1%
Watch for: historically, iShares Emerging Markets Local Currency Bond ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 69% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.