Equities
iShares US Transportation ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Storm WarningMarket stress: 73.5%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 38 1d bars (38 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 44
iShares US Transportation ETF has entered Storm Warning 44 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 11.5% (mean +7.5%) — positive 70% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 43 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +11.5% · negative 30% of the time (roughly 1 in 3) · worst case -21.9%
Watch for: historically, iShares US Transportation ETF exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 75% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.