Equities
iShares US Transportation ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 85.0%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 7 1d bars (7 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 78
iShares US Transportation ETF has entered Thin Ice 78 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 4.1% (mean +4.9%) — positive 67% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 76 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +4.1% · negative 33% of the time · worst case -55.4%
Watch for: historically, iShares US Transportation ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 70% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.