Equities
iShares Russell 2000 ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 90.5%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 5 1d bars (5 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 72
iShares Russell 2000 ETF has entered Thin Ice 72 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 4.2% (mean +4.3%) — positive 59% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 68 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +4.2% · negative 41% of the time · worst case -25.9%
Watch for: historically, iShares Russell 2000 ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 66% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.