Equities
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
TailwindMarket stress: 48.6%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 13 1d bars (13 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 88
iShares Core S&P 500 ETF has entered Tailwind 88 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 10.5% (mean +9.0%) — positive 82% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 85 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +10.5% · negative 18% of the time (roughly 1 in 6) · worst case -26.0%
Watch for: historically, iShares Core S&P 500 ETF exited Tailwind within 10 bars in 61% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.