Equities
iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 84.6%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 4 1d bars (4 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 68
iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF has entered Thin Ice 68 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 6.4% (mean +5.9%) — positive 68% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 66 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +6.4% · negative 32% of the time · worst case -31.7%
Watch for: historically, iShares Core S&P Mid-Cap ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 72% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.