Bonds
iShares International Treasury Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 49.7%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 4 1d bars (4 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 64
iShares International Treasury Bond ETF has entered Thin Ice 64 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 3.4% (mean +1.5%) — positive 65% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 60 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +3.4% · negative 35% of the time · worst case -21.5%
Watch for: historically, iShares International Treasury Bond ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 62% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.