Equities
iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 84.3%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 12 1d bars (12 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 41
iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF has entered Thin Ice 41 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 4.6% (mean +3.5%) — positive 60% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 40 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +4.6% · negative 40% of the time · worst case -22.0%
Watch for: historically, iShares Core MSCI EAFE ETF exited Thin Ice within 21 bars in 68% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.