IAU

$78.87Closed

iShares Gold Trust

Session

Open: $78.72
High: $78.97
Low: $78.59
Close: $78.87

Change

Chg: $1.21
% Chg: +1.56%

Prior

Prev close: $77.66

Volume

Vol: 146,367
Avg vol: 4,704,010

52-week

Low: $73.74
High: $104.40
Range: $73.74 - $104.40

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Storm Warning

Market stress: 25.9%(low)

In this regime now (1d): 18 1d bars (18 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 50

iShares Gold Trust has entered Storm Warning 50 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 5.6% (mean +7.6%) — positive 65% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 49 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +5.6% · negative 35% of the time · worst case -22.8%

Watch for: historically, iShares Gold Trust exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 73% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.

5 bars62%positiven=50

10 bars56%positiven=50

21 bars57%positiven=49

30 bars59%positiven=49

90 bars65%positiven=49

180 bars65%positiven=49