Equities
HTGC
$16.16Closed
Hercules Capital, Inc.
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 68.3%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 3 1d bars (3 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 54
Hercules Capital, Inc. has entered Thin Ice 54 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.7% (mean +1.8%) — positive 48% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 52 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -0.7% · more often negative than positive · worst case -29.9%
Watch for: historically, Hercules Capital, Inc. exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.
5 bars57%positiven=53
10 bars58%positiven=53
21 bars57%positiven=53
30 bars57%positiven=53
90 bars47%positiven=53
180 bars48%positiven=52