Equities
iShares US Treasury Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 92.8%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 13 1d bars (13 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 57
iShares US Treasury Bond ETF has entered Thin Ice 57 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.7% (mean +0.4%) — positive 56% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 54 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.7% · negative 44% of the time · worst case -11.2%
Watch for: historically, iShares US Treasury Bond ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 53% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.