Equities
iShares US Treasury Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 85.9%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 15 1d bars (15 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 58
iShares US Treasury Bond ETF has entered Thin Ice 58 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.6% (mean +0.4%) — positive 54% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 56 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.6% · negative 46% of the time · worst case -11.2%
Watch for: historically, iShares US Treasury Bond ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 62% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.