FXY

Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust has entered Thin Ice 85 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.1% (mean -1.2%) — positive 50% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 80 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -0.1% · split evenly — positive and negative in equal measure · worst case -23.0%

Watch for: historically, Invesco CurrencyShares Japanese Yen Trust exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 64% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.