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1.1615

Euro / US Dollar

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All analysis is generated by sophisticated algorithms and probability models. Markets guarantee nothing. Nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell.

Resistance tested and held
Resistance at 1.1633 on the daily chart, 4 bars ago.
Alert
100
false1dlevel 60/100
prior-day high

Price closed above this level briefly but came back below. The defenders held — the level is reinforced, not broken.

Approaching 200-day SMA
Price is ~1.5 ATR below 1.1677 (+0.54%).
Distance
1.5 σ
dailySMA200
Approaching prior-day low
Price is less than 1 ATR above 1.1606 (-0.07%).
Distance
-0.2 σ
dailyPDL
Approaching nearest structural level
Price is less than 1 ATR above 1.1606 (-0.07%).
Distance
-0.2 σ
dailySTRUCTURAL
Approaching prior-day high
Price is less than 1 ATR below 1.1633 (+0.17%).
Distance
0.5 σ
dailyPDH

Daily σ price targets

What do the sigma bands mean??

Based on the historical distribution of daily returns:

  • Approximately 68% of daily price moves stayed within the ±1σ range
  • Approximately 95% stayed within the ±2σ range
  • Approximately 99.7% stayed within the ±3σ range

Actual market behavior may differ from a perfect normal distribution, especially during periods of elevated volatility or market stress.

+3σ
1.1767
+2σ
1.1716
+1σ
1.1665
-1σ
1.1564
-2σ
1.1513
-3σ
1.1462
The levels

Support & Resistance

Daily and weekly levels rank above shorter intraday moves. Includes swing pivots, moving averages, and key refs (prior H/L, 52-week H/L, ATH) — nearest to price first.

Resistance · nearest first
1.1632
~0%

Daily level · prior-day high + Swing · 5 failed breaks · 15m · 1h · 4h · 1d

key levelconfluence
If broken → 1.1796 (+2.3 ATR)
1.1653
~0%

4-hour level · Swing · 3 failed breaks · 15m · 1h · 4h

If broken → 1.1719 (+3.2 ATR)
1.1686
~0.62%↑

Weekly level · prior-week high · 1w

key level
1.1719
~0.90%↑

4-hour level · Swing · 2 failed breaks · 15m · 1h · 4h

1.1739
~1.1%↑

4-hour level · Swing · 4h

1.1797
~1.6%↑

Daily level · prior-month high + Swing · 2 failed breaks · 1d · 1mo

key levelconfluence
If broken → 1.2066 (+3.8 ATR)
1.2066
~3.9%↑

Daily level · 52-week high · 1d

key level
Support · nearest first
1.1606
~0%

Daily level · prior-day low · 5 failed breaks · 1d

key level
1.1595
~0%

1-hour level · Swing · 4 failed breaks · 15m · 1h

1.1586
~0%

Weekly level · prior-week low · 1w

key level
1.1579
~0%

Weekly level · prior-month low + Swing · 4 failed breaks · 1d · 1w · 1mo

key levelconfluence
1.1508
~0.91%↓

4-hour level · Swing · 4 failed breaks · 4h

1.1483
~1.1%↓

4-hour level · Swing · 3 failed breaks · 4h

1.1444
~1.5%↓

4-hour level · Swing · 2 failed breaks · 4h

0.85595
~26%↓

Daily level · 52-week low · 1d

key level
Levels updated 30 min ago · Timeframes analysed: 15m, 1h, 4h, 1d, 1w
Trend & control

Who has the upper hand on each timeframe — and how strong?

Built from ADX (trend strength, 0–100) plus DI+ / DI− (Wilder Directional Movement, period 14). Higher DI side has the upper hand. ADX below 20 means no real trend — levels matter more than direction in that regime.

15m
ADX 28.1 · trend established

Sellers in control, established trend (ADX 28.1, conviction easing). DI+ 14.9 vs DI− 22.6.

Market regime shifting — reduced signal reliability

DI+ 14.9
DI− 22.6
1h
ADX 24.0 · trend emerging

Sellers in control, emerging trend (ADX 24.0, conviction firming). DI+ 13.8 vs DI− 35.2.

Trend emerging — wait for confirmation before committing

DI+ 13.8
DI− 35.2
4h
ADX 13.7 · no trend

No real trend on this timeframe (ADX 13.7). Levels matter more than direction here.

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

DI+ 20.2
DI− 33.9
1d
ADX 65.9 · very strong trend

Sellers in control, very strong trend (ADX 65.9, conviction steady). DI+ 12.2 vs DI− 59.8.

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

DI+ 12.2
DI− 59.8
1w
ADX 35.8 · trend established

Sellers in control, established trend (ADX 35.8, conviction firming). DI+ 9.4 vs DI− 64.2.

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

DI+ 9.4
DI− 64.2

Indicators updated 41 min ago · As of Jun 3, 2026, 09:49 AM UTC

Descriptive, not prescriptive. The card hints at directional bias from price/range action — it does not predict the next bar.

Momentum & oscillators

RSI, SMI, MACD across timeframes — what the indicators are saying

RSI(14): zone (oversold/neutral/overbought) and direction. SMI(14,3,3,3): above or below its signal line. MACD(12,26,9): histogram sign and whether it’s expanding or contracting. When all three pills agree on a TF, conviction is higher; when they disagree, the move is mixed.

15m
RSI 45?
neutral

Market regime shifting — reduced signal reliability

RSI at 44.7 — neutral zone

SMI -18
above signal
MACD 2.1e-5
bullish · expanding
1h
RSI 37?
neutral

Trend emerging — wait for confirmation before committing

RSI at 37.0 — neutral zone

SMI -56
above signal
MACD -1.5e-4
bearish · contracting
4h
RSI 41?
neutral

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

RSI at 40.8 — neutral zone

SMI -56
below signal
MACD -3.7e-4
bearish · expanding
1d
RSI 42?
neutral

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

RSI at 42.1 — neutral zone

SMI -22
near signal
MACD -1.1e-4
bearish · expanding
1w
RSI 48?
neutral

Range-bound — levels and mean-reversion dominate

RSI at 47.8 — neutral zone

SMI 85
above signal
MACD -1.2e-3
bearish · expanding

Indicators updated 41 min ago · As of Jun 3, 2026, 09:49 AM UTC

Descriptive, not prescriptive. Oscillators describe state; they don’t guarantee the next move. Combine with the Trend & control card above for direction context.