Bonds
iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Full StormMarket stress: 84.5%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 10 1d bars (10 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 36
iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF has entered Full Storm 36 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.6% (mean -2.7%) — positive 48% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 33 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -0.6% · more often negative than positive · worst case -27.8%
Watch for: historically, iShares J.P. Morgan USD Emerging Markets Bond ETF exited Full Storm within 21 bars in 63% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.