Equities
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Storm WarningMarket stress: 65.3%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 27 1d bars (27 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 40
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF has entered Storm Warning 40 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 2.1% (mean +0.5%) — positive 55% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 38 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +2.1% · negative 45% of the time · worst case -26.0%
Watch for: historically, iShares MSCI EAFE ETF exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 75% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.