Equities
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 85.0%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 12 1d bars (12 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 74
iShares MSCI EAFE ETF has entered Thin Ice 74 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 2.8% (mean +1.5%) — positive 62% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 73 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +2.8% · negative 38% of the time · worst case -25.4%
Watch for: historically, iShares MSCI EAFE ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 57% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.