Macro
US 3-Month Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 85.4%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 17 1d bars (17 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 70
US 3-Month Treasury Yield has entered Clear Skies 70 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 32.0% (mean +310.8%) — positive 55% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 67 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +32.0% · negative 45% of the time · worst case -92.9%
Watch for: historically, US 3-Month Treasury Yield exited Clear Skies within 10 bars in 67% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.