Macro
US 2-Year Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 73.9%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 9 1d bars (9 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 75
US 2-Year Treasury Yield has entered Clear Skies 75 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 5.6% (mean +68.3%) — positive 51% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 70 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +5.6% · negative 44% of the time · worst case -91.8%
Watch for: historically, US 2-Year Treasury Yield exited Clear Skies within 10 bars in 65% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.