Markets/DFII10

Macro

DFII10

$2.35Closed

US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield

Session

Open
$2.35
High
$2.35
Low
$2.35
Close
$2.35

Change

Chg
$0.03
% Chg
+1.29%

Prior

Prev close
$2.32

52-week

Low
$1.67
High
$2.36
Range
$1.67 - $2.36

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Clear Skies

Market stress: 28.9%(low)

In this regime now (1d): 5 1d bars (5 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 66

US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield has entered Clear Skies 66 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 9.0% (mean -33.1%) — positive 34% of the time.

Confidence: ModerateBased on 59 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -9.0% · more often negative than positive · worst case -760.0%

Watch for: historically, US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield exited Clear Skies within 10 bars in 65% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.

5 bars52%positiven=65
10 bars48%positiven=65
21 bars55%positiven=64
30 bars50%positiven=64
90 bars39%positiven=62
180 bars34%positiven=59