Equities
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 48.2%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 2 1d bars (2 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 75
Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund has entered Thin Ice 75 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 1.5% (mean +1.3%) — positive 47% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 73 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -1.5% · more often negative than positive · worst case -56.6%
Watch for: historically, Invesco DB Commodity Index Tracking Fund exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 65% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.