Equities
First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 40.7%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 6 1d bars (6 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 38
First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF has entered Thin Ice 38 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 12.9% (mean +13.6%) — positive 83% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 36 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +12.9% · negative 17% of the time (roughly 1 in 6) · worst case -18.8%
Watch for: historically, First Trust NASDAQ Cybersecurity ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 62% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.