Bonds
VanEck China Bond ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Storm WarningMarket stress: 68.8%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 11 1d bars (11 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 30
VanEck China Bond ETF has entered Storm Warning 30 times in historical data. At 10 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.4% (mean +0.2%) — positive 63% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 30 historical occurrences at the 10-bar horizon.
At 10 bars: median +0.4% · negative 37% of the time · worst case -1.6%
Watch for: historically, VanEck China Bond ETF exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 66% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.