BND

$72.86Closed

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

Session

Open: $72.92
High: $72.99
Low: $72.84
Close: $72.86

Change

Chg: $0.07
% Chg: +0.10%

Prior

Prev close: $72.79

Volume

Vol: 1,073,300
Avg vol: 8,443,103

52-week

Low: $72.34
High: $75.23
Range: $72.34 - $75.23

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Thin Ice

Market stress: 83.1%(elevated)

In this regime now (1d): 15 1d bars (15 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 78

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF has entered Thin Ice 78 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.4% (mean -0.3%) — positive 52% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 77 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +0.4% · negative 48% of the time · worst case -13.2%

Watch for: historically, Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 63% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.

5 bars50%positiven=78

10 bars53%positiven=78

21 bars61%positiven=77

30 bars64%positiven=77

90 bars55%positiven=77

180 bars52%positiven=77