Equities
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Full StormMarket stress: 81.0%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 19 1d bars (19 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 36
Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF has entered Full Storm 36 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.6% (mean +0.4%) — positive 62% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 32 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.6% · negative 38% of the time · worst case -13.6%
Watch for: historically, Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF exited Full Storm within 21 bars in 54% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.