BND

$71.78Closed

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF

Session

Open: $71.86
High: $71.98
Low: $71.78
Close: $71.78

Change

Chg: -$0.47
% Chg: -0.65%

Prior

Prev close: $72.25

Volume

Vol: 434,957
Avg vol: 8,091,484

52-week

Low: $71.78
High: $75.23
Range: $71.78 - $75.23

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Storm Warning

Market stress: 95.6%(elevated)

In this regime now (1d): 21 1d bars (21 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 49

Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF has entered Storm Warning 49 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.4% (mean -0.5%) — positive 46% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 46 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -0.4% · more often negative than positive · worst case -15.2%

Watch for: historically, Vanguard Total Bond Market ETF exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 71% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.

5 bars53%positiven=49

10 bars55%positiven=49

21 bars46%positiven=48

30 bars48%positiven=48

90 bars43%positiven=47

180 bars46%positiven=46