FX
Australian Dollar / US Dollar
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 63.2%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 9 1d bars (9 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 79
Australian Dollar / US Dollar has entered Thin Ice 79 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.5% (mean +0.2%) — positive 46% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 78 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -0.5% · more often negative than positive · worst case -14.9%
Watch for: historically, Australian Dollar / US Dollar exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 59% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.