ARCC

Ares Capital Corporation has entered Thin Ice 63 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 1.4% (mean +2.3%) — positive 55% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 60 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +1.4% · negative 45% of the time · worst case -17.9%

Watch for: historically, Ares Capital Corporation exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 59% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.