AGO

$70.85Closed

Assured Guaranty Ltd.

Session

Open: $70.23
High: $70.94
Low: $69.93
Close: $70.85

Change

Chg: $0.97
% Chg: +1.39%

Prior

Prev close: $69.88

Volume

Vol: 22,123
Avg vol: 521,660

52-week

Low: $67.24
High: $92.40
Range: $67.24 - $92.40

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Thin Ice

Market stress: 46.4%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 6 1d bars (6 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 59

Assured Guaranty Ltd. has entered Thin Ice 59 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 5.0% (mean +3.5%) — positive 62% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 55 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +5.0% · negative 38% of the time · worst case -45.5%

Watch for: historically, Assured Guaranty Ltd. exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 69% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.

5 bars56%positiven=59

10 bars60%positiven=58

21 bars53%positiven=58

30 bars57%positiven=58

90 bars62%positiven=58

180 bars62%positiven=55