ACGL

$95.56Closed

Arch Capital Group Ltd

Session

Open: $96.29
High: $96.57
Low: $95.43
Close: $95.56

Change

Chg: -$0.52
% Chg: -0.54%

Prior

Prev close: $96.08

Volume

Vol: 84,617
Avg vol: 4,039,865

52-week

Low: $82.45
High: $107.09
Range: $82.45 - $107.09

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

Regime (1d)

Thin Ice

Market stress: 41.6%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 4 1d bars (4 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 63

Arch Capital Group Ltd has entered Thin Ice 63 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 13.3% (mean +10.9%) — positive 75% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 59 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +13.3% · negative 25% of the time (roughly 1 in 4) · worst case -41.6%

Watch for: historically, Arch Capital Group Ltd exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 53% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.

5 bars60%positiven=62

10 bars56%positiven=62

21 bars65%positiven=62

30 bars71%positiven=62

90 bars74%positiven=62

180 bars75%positiven=59