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Macro Dashboard/3M T-Bill
Interest Rates · % · Daily

3-Month T-Bill Yield

What It Is

The yield on 3-month US Treasury bills. Essentially the risk-free short-term rate in US dollar markets.

Why It Matters

Closely tracks the Federal Funds Rate. Used in yield curve spread calculations. When this exceeds the 10-year yield, the curve is deeply inverted.

How To Read

Near the Fed Funds Rate in normal times. When significantly above long-term yields, it signals a deeply restrictive Fed and elevated recession risk.

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