Macro
US 30-Year Treasury Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 85.6%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 10 1d bars (10 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 61
US 30-Year Treasury Yield has entered Clear Skies 61 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.5% (mean +2.7%) — positive 49% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 57 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -0.5% · more often negative than positive · worst case -39.1%
Watch for: historically, US 30-Year Treasury Yield exited Clear Skies within 90 bars in 62% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.