Macro
US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 54.8%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 29 1d bars (29 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 62
US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield has entered Clear Skies 62 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 8.1% (mean -0.7%) — positive 37% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 59 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -8.1% · more often negative than positive · worst case -760.0%
Watch for: historically, US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield exited Clear Skies within 180 bars in 68% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.