Markets/DFII10

Macro

DFII10

$2.84Closed

US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield

Session

Open
$2.84
High
$2.84
Low
$2.84
Close
$2.84

Change

Chg
-$0.04
% Chg
-1.39%

Prior

Prev close
$2.88

52-week

Low
$1.68
High
$2.95
Range
$1.68 - $2.95

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Clear Skies

Market stress: 54.8%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 29 1d bars (29 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 62

US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield has entered Clear Skies 62 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 8.1% (mean -0.7%) — positive 37% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 59 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -8.1% · more often negative than positive · worst case -760.0%

Watch for: historically, US 10-Year TIPS Real Yield exited Clear Skies within 180 bars in 68% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.

5 bars48%positiven=62
10 bars48%positiven=62
21 bars45%positiven=62
30 bars48%positiven=61
90 bars48%positiven=60
180 bars37%positiven=59