Macro
US 10Y TIPS Real minus Breakeven
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Storm WarningMarket stress: 61.0%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 5 1d bars (5 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 52
US 10Y TIPS Real minus Breakeven has entered Storm Warning 52 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 2.4% (mean +23.1%) — positive 54% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 50 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +2.4% · negative 46% of the time · worst case -519.0%
Watch for: historically, US 10Y TIPS Real minus Breakeven exited Storm Warning within 21 bars in 65% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Storm Warning.