FX
US Dollar / Chinese Renminbi (offshore)
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 72.2%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 18 1d bars (18 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 47
US Dollar / Chinese Renminbi (offshore) has entered Thin Ice 47 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 0.0% (mean +0.2%) — positive 50% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 42 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +0.0% · split evenly — positive and negative in equal measure · worst case -6.2%
Watch for: historically, US Dollar / Chinese Renminbi (offshore) exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 60% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.