FX
USD/CAD
1.4010Closed
US Dollar / Canadian Dollar
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 59.9%(moderate)
In this regime now (1d): 6 1d bars (6 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 80
US Dollar / Canadian Dollar has entered Thin Ice 80 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 1.1% (mean +0.1%) — positive 60% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 75 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +1.1% · negative 40% of the time · worst case -14.4%
Watch for: historically, US Dollar / Canadian Dollar exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 59% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.
5 bars49%positiven=80
10 bars56%positiven=79
21 bars56%positiven=79
30 bars58%positiven=79
90 bars62%positiven=77
180 bars60%positiven=75