Markets/T10YIE

Macro

T10YIE

$2.24Closed

US 10Y Breakeven Inflation

Session

Open
$2.24
High
$2.24
Low
$2.24
Close
$2.24

Change

Chg
$0.02
% Chg
+0.90%

Prior

Prev close
$2.22

52-week

Low
$2.18
High
$2.50
Range
$2.18 - $2.50

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Full Storm

Market stress: 63.6%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 28 1d bars (28 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 108

US 10Y Breakeven Inflation has entered Full Storm 108 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 3.1% (mean +4.1%) — positive 56% of the time.

Confidence: HighBased on 107 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +3.1% · negative 43% of the time · worst case -87.5%

Watch for: historically, US 10Y Breakeven Inflation exited Full Storm within 21 bars in 61% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.

5 bars53%positiven=108
10 bars50%positiven=108
21 bars46%positiven=108
30 bars51%positiven=107
90 bars61%positiven=107
180 bars56%positiven=107