Markets/T10YIE

Macro

T10YIE

$2.32Closed

US 10Y Breakeven Inflation

Session

Open
$2.32
High
$2.32
Low
$2.32
Close
$2.32

Change

Chg
$0.00
% Chg
+0.00%

Prior

Prev close
$2.32

52-week

Low
$2.18
High
$2.50
Range
$2.18 - $2.50

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Thin Ice

Market stress: 63.4%(moderate)

In this regime now (1d): 8 1d bars (8 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 70

US 10Y Breakeven Inflation has entered Thin Ice 70 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 0.4% (mean +4.7%) — positive 49% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 68 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median -0.4% · split evenly — positive and negative in equal measure · worst case -58.7%

Watch for: historically, US 10Y Breakeven Inflation exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 57% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Thin Ice.

5 bars39%positiven=70
10 bars51%positiven=69
21 bars58%positiven=69
30 bars51%positiven=69
90 bars52%positiven=69
180 bars49%positiven=68