Macro
US 5-Year TIPS Real Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 23.5%(low)
In this regime now (1d): 30 1d bars (30 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 71
US 5-Year TIPS Real Yield has entered Clear Skies 71 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 13.4% (mean -16.1%) — positive 38% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 66 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -13.4% · more often negative than positive · worst case -2216.7%
Watch for: historically, US 5-Year TIPS Real Yield exited Clear Skies within 90 bars in 62% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.