Markets/DFII30

Macro

DFII30

$3.24Closed

US 30-Year TIPS Real Yield

Session

Open
$3.24
High
$3.24
Low
$3.24
Close
$3.24

Change

Chg
-$0.04
% Chg
-1.22%

Prior

Prev close
$3.28

52-week

Low
$2.33
High
$3.37
Range
$2.33 - $3.37

Regime historical context

Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,

15m1h4h

Regime (1d)

Clear Skies

Market stress: 80.5%(elevated)

In this regime now (1d): 11 1d bars (11 days)

Times entered this regime (1d): 57

US 30-Year TIPS Real Yield has entered Clear Skies 57 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 3.0% (mean -18.7%) — positive 53% of the time.

Confidence: Moderate — Based on 51 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.

At 180 bars: median +3.0% · negative 45% of the time · worst case -457.1%

Watch for: historically, US 30-Year TIPS Real Yield exited Clear Skies within 90 bars in 55% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.

5 bars51%positiven=57
10 bars42%positiven=57
21 bars43%positiven=56
30 bars48%positiven=56
90 bars49%positiven=53
180 bars53%positiven=51