Macro
US 30-Year TIPS Real Yield
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 80.5%(elevated)
In this regime now (1d): 11 1d bars (11 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 57
US 30-Year TIPS Real Yield has entered Clear Skies 57 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to rise a median of 3.0% (mean -18.7%) — positive 53% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 51 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median +3.0% · negative 45% of the time · worst case -457.1%
Watch for: historically, US 30-Year TIPS Real Yield exited Clear Skies within 90 bars in 55% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Clear Skies.