Equities
AV.
£713.00Closed
Aviva plc
Regime historical context
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Thin IceMarket stress: 31.3%(low)
In this regime now (1d): 24 1d bars (24 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 66
Aviva plc has entered Thin Ice 66 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 1.3% (mean +0.5%) — positive 47% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 64 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -1.3% · more often negative than positive · worst case -33.9%
Watch for: historically, Aviva plc exited Thin Ice within 10 bars in 67% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Tailwind.
5 bars61%positiven=66
10 bars70%positiven=66
21 bars64%positiven=66
30 bars58%positiven=65
90 bars48%positiven=65
180 bars47%positiven=64