Volatility
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF
Historically, what happened when this symbol entered its current regime,
Regime (1d)
Clear SkiesMarket stress: 19.6%(low)
In this regime now (1d): 5 1d bars (5 days)
Times entered this regime (1d): 37
ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF has entered Clear Skies 37 times in historical data. At 180 bars, it went on to fall a median of 44.7% (mean -40.5%) — positive 6% of the time.
Confidence: Moderate — Based on 35 historical occurrences at the 180-bar horizon.
At 180 bars: median -44.7% · predominantly negative — positive only 6% of the time · worst case -70.7%
Watch for: historically, ProShares VIX Short-Term Futures ETF exited Clear Skies within 10 bars in 83% of cases — most commonly transitioning toward Full Storm.