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Inflation · % · Monthly

PCE Deflator

What It Is

The Personal Consumption Expenditures price index. Broader than CPI — covers all goods and services consumed by Americans, not just urban consumers.

Why It Matters

PCE is more comprehensive than CPI and adjusts for substitution effects. The Fed officially targets PCE inflation at 2%, not CPI.

How To Read

Generally runs 0.3-0.5% below CPI. The trend direction matters more than the absolute level. Falling PCE gives the Fed room to cut.

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